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Draft or drop: Fantasy football

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Draft

Sam Bradford

Quarterback, Philadelphia Eagles (average draft position (ADP) among quarterbacks: 14.2)

Since Chip Kelly became the Eagles head coach in 2013, only Drew Brees, Peyton Manning, and Andrew Luck have had more fantasy points than the revolving door of quarterbacks taking snaps under centre in Philadelphia. Sam Bradford is injury-prone and he has failed to live up to his No. 1 pick pedigree, but he’s finally playing in an offensive system similar to the one he excelled in at the University of Oklahoma. Bradford completed 86 per cent of his passes in the pre-season, avoided being sacked, and a passer rating close to 150. If there was ever a time for the former Sooner to break out, it would be 2015.

Jeremy Hill

Running back, Cincinnati Bengals (ADP among running backs: 8.2)

Hill averaged 5.1 yards per carry last season to go with nine touchdowns on only 222 carries. By comparison, last season’s rushing champion DeMarco Murray, who carried the ball a league-high 392 times, scored 13 touchdowns and averaged 4.7 yards per carry. Obviously, with a higher workload, Hill’s average yardage should should, but he is the undisputed No. 1 running back in Cincinnati for the first time. There’s no reason why Hill shouldn’t be able to outperform his ADP and finish as a top-five back by the end of the season.

Owen Daniels

Tight end, Denver Broncos (ADP among tight ends: 12.2)

Expect big things from Daniels, who’s a legitimate steal where he is currently being taken in most drafts. Tight end-loving quarterback Peyton Manning—he threw 12 touchdowns to the since departedJulius Thomas in 2014—will be targeting Daniels early and often

Allen Robinson

Wide receiver, Jacksonville Jaguars (ADP among wide receivers: 31.7)

Robinson has been the de facto No. 1 wideout in Jacksonville since Cecil Shorts left town, and is about the only person on the team that seems to have developed any sort of chemistry with quarterback Blake Bortles. Don’t expect Robinson to suddenly become an All-Pro receiver, however. He is part of a young offence that has the potential to develop over the season. At his current ADP he’s a solid option to either start in the flex, or stash on the bench until the rest of the Jaguars offence picks it up.

Drop

Julius Thomas

Tight end, Jacksonville Jaguars (ADP among tight ends: 11.2)

There’s no denying Thomas’ raw physical talent and sheer athleticism, but he’s going from a future Hall-of-Fame quarterback to an unproven passer who’s just his second full season in the league in Bortles. He has missed multiple games in both seasons he’s played, and is already out for a month heading into 2015. It would be much better to wait a few rounds and take tight ends like Dwayne Allen, Zach Ertz, and Owen Daniels who will give similar production over the course of the season at a much lower draft slot.

Matthew Stafford

Quarterback, Detroit Lions (ADP among quarterbacks: 10.5)

Matthew Stafford has one of the biggest arms in the league and he’s never afraid to sling the ball 50 yards downfield to Calvin Johnson. In a modern league that’s so obsessed with quarterback efficiency, it’s nice to see an old fashioned gunslinger; however, since his career-best 2011 season, his stats have been incredibly disappointing, especially from a fantasy perspective. His yardage has gone down four straight seasons and he hasn’t thrown for more than 30 touchdowns since he tossed 41 in 2011. At his current ADP, there are plenty of better options available later in your draft that will provide you with much more value.

Kickers and Defence:

Don’t bother drafting these positions early. Defence is such an unpredictable position to draft that  it’s smarter to pick up off the waiver wire who. Don’t waste a valuable draft slot on a kicker or a defence before the rest of the team is filled out. There will always be serviceable options available later on—don’t overreach. *All ADP info taken from fantasypros.com

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